The Economics of Privatisation

Is this issue important to you? Yes Votes: 18 User-icon by Greg Piper 3:04pm, 20 January 2008

The power generation and power retail industry in NSW constitutes an essential public utility that returns a healthy dividend to the government of some $1.2 billion. At an estimated sale price of $15 billion this has to be a real bargain – close to 10% return on investment per annum! Even if you were to support privatisation, at that price the asset is being grossly undervalued. Even worse - it is most likely that we would not receive anything like $15b with many believing it is more likely to be $10b or less.



The argument that there is need for a massive investment in upgrading infrastructure and investing in new capacity is no doubt true – and it confirms that this and successive governments have been irresponsible and incompetent in managing these assets. Dividends taken over the years have clearly stripped the funds which should have been used to ensure the proper maintenance and upgrade of depreciating assets and to pay for future capital upgrades.



With such a poor track record you would have to wonder about how wisely any proceeds of privatisation would be used? The areas of proposed spending are all worthy – but none return a dividend to the state year after year.



And on the topic of track records, this government (therefore the public) has a poor record when doing business with the private sector. Projects such as rail infrastructure (Airport Line), roads and road tunnels with forced closure of local roads, high road tolls and even compensation paid by the state when profits don’t reach expectations!



And just to be consistent ….. this proposal lets the people retain the “ ‘poles and wires’ assets in Government ownership”. I’m not sure but I would have thought that these assets are high cost and not the part of the system that generates income. They are an integral part of the system whose costs have always been carried by the overall income from the generation and retail income. Further, it is my understanding that much of this network including extensive in-ground cabling (Sydney CBD?) is close to or past it’s used by date. If this is so we are retaining a liability without retaining an income to upgrade it.



The Government has built in some shallow incentives – cash for power workers which they have rightly rejected; and tariff caps until 2013 which will be gone in the blink of an eye! I’m am personally more concerned about what will happen in 20, 30, 50 years and beyond and I don’t believe that regulation will be able maintain price protection and all the proposed benefits for any length of time.

Ic_relatesdoc Relates to document: Summary of Owen Report (174.5 KB)

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James

Jan 22, 2008 03:25pm

13 agree 3 disagree

I am not against privatisation but agree the asset is being undervalued. Also who in their right mind would sell anything at the moment? There is no credit in the system and assets will change hands at rock bottom prices. If the timing of this sale is anything other than politically motivated it will be put off for a few years until the world economy is on a sounder footing.

dan28

Jan 23, 2008 09:28pm

10 agree 1 disagree

If the rush is to get some cash to shore up the state's generation capacity which is needed becasue of the lack of maintenance investment then why not just issue bonds and spend the money. Presumably there must be a return available or the assets wouldnt sell. At the same time as we are told the money is to build generation capacity we are also told it will be spent on railways in Sydney. I find these messages contradictory and confusing and wish the Government would take the time to explain the issue clearly.

fathertime

Jan 29, 2008 09:32pm

3 agree 1 disagree

If this is genuinely to get a more efficient system I wouldnt oppose it but I have yet to see any evidence. If it is to invest in Sydney transport I wouldnt oppose that either - we need a functioning capital but why sell assts why not borrow - you would only borrow if it is cheaper and it should not be cheaper than a profitable saleable enterprise. Therefore, given the unseemly haste, something stinks.

mainy

Feb 01, 2008 01:57pm

6 agree 0 disagree

James, with respect,so your not against privatisation. We the NSW public have a valuable asset which belongs to you and me and is being sold with out consoltation. Since day 1 and still today this asset is continually making profits which should have been reinvested into up grading existing power industry infrastructuer/equipment and as in the earlier days, buliding new and better power generators. The Govnt decided to bleed that money and divert it elswhere. Where?? Millions of dollars each year that should go back to you and me in some form. (hospitals, power generation, schools, etc) If it is privatised, you sell the very thing that is a source of "continual" income to the state, yep you sell the golden goose. If privatised, the new owner wants a profit a return, do we really think its coming back to the state to be reinvested. Oh yes we got a sale price but once sold it's gone for ever. Privatisation means Australian jobs lost, money out of the hands of the NSW public and being paid to greedy CEO's and the share holders. Look at Victoria history since the Kennett sell off era, hey a 17% electricity price rise January 08, looked at the cost of your green slip lateley, (GIO sold)looked at the Commonwealth and State Bank's history since privatising, looked at NSW Rail freight, Telstra, many state owned coal mines, roads (toll ways) that used to be free or a toll till paid off, Try our Air Ports and the list goes on but all of these either totally or in some form have been sold off for short term gain but have you enjoyed any discounts,reduction in prices, better facilities, returns for your money back into the state,,, HHHMMM no !! it's gone into big CEO pay outs and share holders pockets. Please help me understand the good in privatisation. Why can't Governments do what private businesses do. Govt's and privaters all draw from the same employment source, the NSW public,, or do we. ??? Give selling a second thought. Please!. I have worked in one of those industries about to be sold and I can see what's next. Can you ???? Give it some more thought.

James

Feb 01, 2008 02:41pm

4 agree 0 disagree

MAybe I should be clearer - I am not against privatisation per se. Every asset has its price. BUT I am not confident that selling this asset at this time and in these circumstances is sensible. I agree the asset is ours and there needs to be proper consultation, at the very least a sale should be part of an election manifesto

the detective

Feb 03, 2008 01:27pm

5 agree 0 disagree

Consider this...The proposal is to lease the power stations for 99 years. If the life of a power station is say 40 years what happens to them when they become obsolete? The public now own obsolete power stations. Who pays to build new ones... the public does, not the people wanting to make money from power generation. Also as coal fired power becomes increasingly unattractive because of green house gas my guess is the power capitalists will argue for the building of a nuclear capacity ... what then for public -v- private ownership??

Captain Scarlet

Jan 24, 2008 10:47am

11 agree 2 disagree

If private enterprise can make profits from power generation and retail.. the why can't a government?? This is more about the Sydney Labor clown-brigade finding cash for cross-Sydney fantasy metro rail ideas than looking after the people's long term interests. We borrowed substantial money to buy a house (infrastructure)then pay it off.. but we as a state cannot borrow money for a new power station (infrastructure).. hang on, what am I missing here Mr Iemma? Maybe your local and dutiful servant Ms McKay can explain this to us stupid Hunter Valley ingrates why this is so in her beatifully NBN TV trained patronising tone??

Dilo

Jan 27, 2008 11:40am

15 agree 0 disagree

Another fire sale by a Treasury run by an incompetent, looking for a quick fix before they run the state into bankruptcy. Mr Costa, what will you sell when there is nothing left and we are still bankrupt??

Perhaps getting someone who can run the NSW Treasury would be a far better option!

Greg Piper

Member for Lake Macquarie

Jan 29, 2008 09:36pm

11 agree 0 disagree

Excellent article from SMH Jan 29 with academic refuting claims by Costa on dividends and stating that even unions are underestimating the value to the state. www.smh.com.au/news/national/power-selloff-will-lose-nsw-billions-study/2008/01/28/1201369038302.html

or I have placed it in the Bang the Table library

ArtzyAudz

Feb 02, 2008 04:47pm

10 agree 2 disagree

The strangest thing in my eyes, at this time, is the hasty,piecemeal upgrade of(-PAST IT'S USE BY DATE!-) Eraring Power Station (in Lake Macquarie,NSW) to be the LARGEST COAL FIRED POWER STATION IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE!

Definately NOT the Government PROVING commitment to lowering Greenhouse gas, nor ANY concern to the environment. Why upgrade for millions & then off load ???? We all need to think of the future both environmentally & economically- Be real about SAFE power alternatives! The profit will be a livable planet

Gabbi

Feb 06, 2008 03:13pm

6 agree 0 disagree

I am against privatisation when it comes to ALL Governmental assets - which I view ultimately as being assets of the people. I feel we are heading disasterously towards a place where gambling and taxes are the Governments only revenue raising mechanisms left. How does it make ANY sense at all to off-load something, which is ultimately generated by the land on which we live, to the private sector for private gain??

Captain Scarlet

Feb 07, 2008 09:44pm

6 agree 0 disagree

Is it just my paranoia about the 'Sydney-centric' way that decisions for regional NSW centres are made, but anyone else smell a rat in the timing of this 'quick cash fix' by selling our power system and the 'quick water problem fix' of the mega-bucks expensive desalination plant being built in Sydney??

And don't get me started about these same clowns flogging off the Eveleigh rail site - the place the legendary 3801 steam loco was built - for high rise housing.. We need more politicians in the so-called Labor party who have 'dirt under their fingernails' instead of the slimy excuses we have now.. Public Servants?? No, all they serve is the big end of town. 'Labor' in name only...

aking

Feb 16, 2008 03:40pm

2 agree 0 disagree

Interesting to see Combet's clear opposition to the proposal in today's press, clearly they have not all sold out.

Greg Piper

Member for Lake Macquarie

Feb 16, 2008 04:50pm

4 agree 1 disagree

Costa Nomics - Interview on Stateline with Prof Bob Walker regarding privatisation. Transcript at:

http://www.abc.net.au/stateline/nsw/content/2006/s2164410.htm